YTD Totals
+ 6.10 units (Cup Match-ups)
+ 9.40 units (N'wide Match-ups)
-11.59 units (Props/Outrights)
Total: + 3.91 units
Night racing in Kentucky for the Nationwide boys. This is what I played:
Match-ups (all lines from thegreek)
5.00 units David Stremme (-110) over Jason Leffler
Can't believe this line, Stremme should be at least in the 130/140 range. He has 8 Top 10's in the last 10 races and only one finish worse than 12th. Think he has a shot at the win tonight, definite Top 5 if no incidents.
Leffler has 2 Top 10's in 7 races but his last 3 outings resulted in 26th, 27th and 32nd. Outside shot at Top 12 finish here.
4.00 units David Reutimann (-140) over Jason Leffler
Like this one just as much, just didn't like the line. Also expect Reutimann to be Top 5 material in this race. Has 3 Top 5's last 4 races.
3.00 units Brad Keselowski (-115) over Mike Bliss
Lot of momentum with Keselowski right now. Bliss is pretty consistent Top 12-15 but Keselowski should be Top 10 or better.
2.00 David Ragan (+100) over Mike Bliss
Going with the combo platter against Bliss as well. Ragan finished 8th here last year and we all know he is leaps and bounds better this year than last. Will challenge for a win soon.
2.00 units Clint Bowyer (+100) over Carl Edwards
Kind of a gut play. Bowyer is just having a better year than Edwards.
Outrights
0.50 unit David Stremme (+1550)
Kentucky has produced first time winners two years in a row
0.50 unit David Reutimann (+1350)
0.25 unit David Ragan (+2550)
Good luck everybody.
+ 6.10 units (Cup Match-ups)
+ 9.40 units (N'wide Match-ups)
-11.59 units (Props/Outrights)
Total: + 3.91 units
Night racing in Kentucky for the Nationwide boys. This is what I played:
Match-ups (all lines from thegreek)
5.00 units David Stremme (-110) over Jason Leffler
Can't believe this line, Stremme should be at least in the 130/140 range. He has 8 Top 10's in the last 10 races and only one finish worse than 12th. Think he has a shot at the win tonight, definite Top 5 if no incidents.
Leffler has 2 Top 10's in 7 races but his last 3 outings resulted in 26th, 27th and 32nd. Outside shot at Top 12 finish here.
4.00 units David Reutimann (-140) over Jason Leffler
Like this one just as much, just didn't like the line. Also expect Reutimann to be Top 5 material in this race. Has 3 Top 5's last 4 races.
3.00 units Brad Keselowski (-115) over Mike Bliss
Lot of momentum with Keselowski right now. Bliss is pretty consistent Top 12-15 but Keselowski should be Top 10 or better.
2.00 David Ragan (+100) over Mike Bliss
Going with the combo platter against Bliss as well. Ragan finished 8th here last year and we all know he is leaps and bounds better this year than last. Will challenge for a win soon.
2.00 units Clint Bowyer (+100) over Carl Edwards
Kind of a gut play. Bowyer is just having a better year than Edwards.
Outrights
0.50 unit David Stremme (+1550)
Kentucky has produced first time winners two years in a row
0.50 unit David Reutimann (+1350)
0.25 unit David Ragan (+2550)
Good luck everybody.
